Less than a week after Lhasa burned, the Beijing Olympics organising committee (BOCOG) is holding firm to its plans to take the Olympic flame to Tibet. Carrying the torch to the summit of Everest will be "the highlight" of the 2008 torch relay, top official Jiang Xiaoyu told reporters. The flame is due to start its journey on Monday at Olympia in Greece; the official slogan, settled long ago, is "Journey of Harmony". Tibetan activists and exiles who have rallied outside Chinese embassies this week seem unlikely to heed this message. After the last few days, however, BOCOG must long for the time when the sight of a 'Free Tibet' T-shirt on camera was its worst nightmare.
The ascent of Everest will be a "great feat in Olympic history", said BOCOG executive vice president Jiang Xiaoyu. As he described the logistics, it became clear that summiting Everest is set to be the grandest moment in the long pre-Olympic drumroll, short of the opening ceremony itself. The flame will be divided so that one torch can continue around China while the other is carried to Everest. Weather conditions cloud the timing, but on the day the torch ascends the peak BOCOG will suspend the other leg of the relay in line with International Olympic Committee (IOC) rules. The waiting and watching will create a perfect format for breathless media attention. The flame will then go to Lhasa to await its other half. Their reunion will be another media moment. There will be plentiful references to the torch relay's official "message of friendship, peace and harmony". It must have seemed like a good idea at the time.
BOCOG says it has no plans to change any of this. Climbing Everest "is a commitment we made when bidding", said Jiang. Asked about the recent pro-independence marches and ethnic riots he said: "These disturbances are totally against the spirit of the Olympic Games. They are a challenge to the Olympic Charter...These so-called activities will not win the hearts and minds of the people, and so they are doomed to failure".
Like everything about China's Olympic plans, the 2008 Beijing Olympics torch relay is on the grandest possible scale. It will be the longest ever, traveling through 19 countries in five continents. Then when it reaches China, it will go to all 31 provinces and ascend the world's highest mountain. There is little room for flexibility in plans as bombastic as these. Activists opposed to China's policies towards Tibet, Darfur and a medley of other issues were always going to have plentiful chances to protest. There is now the risk of Tibetan monks attempting more pro-independence protests, and sparking more riots.
To stabilize the region, China is pouring in troops and carrying out a wave of arrests. "I have seen one convoy of at least 200 trucks with 30 military personnel on top of each, so that was around 6,000 troops there which I could see moving on one day," German journalist Georg Blume told the BBC before being expelled from Lhasa on Thursday. Military conveys have also been spotted in provinces bordering Tibet.
The official Tibet Daily said 24 people have been arrested in Lhasa and charged with "endangering national security as well as beating, smashing, looting, arson and other grave crimes". China's Xinhua news agency that 105 people had voluntarily surrendered themselves. Tibet solidarity campaigns tell a different story, saying several hundred people are being detained each day. "The security personnel seem to be quite overstretched. They’re handcuffing people, and leaving them face down on the corner till they can come back and collect them," says Kate Saunders of the International Campaign for Tibet.
The Dalai Lama, who spoke to NEWSWEEK in an exclusive interview today, has said he is "always ready to meet our Chinese leaders" to talk about the future of Tibet. Talks between the two sides broke down in 2004 and seem unlikely to reopen soon. China's Premier Wen Jiabao denounced the "hypocritical lies" of "the Dalai clique" on Tuesday, saying they had formented violence and were insincere about wanting peaceful dialogue not independence.
What happens next in Tibet depends partly on how much control the Dalai Lama has over his followers there. Earlier this week, he reiterated that he might resign as head-of-state in his government in exile if Tibetans continue to seek violent solutions. According to some Tibet-watchers, his hold is weakening as some followers have become frustrated by his willingness to negotiate for less than full independence. "A large part of the movement disagree with his position.... [and] are pushing for independence and are very frustrated with his middle path approach."says ICT's Saunders.
The Olympic flame is due to reach Tibet in May.