Sharon Begley
|
Sep 7, 2007 01:58 PM
By now you will likely have heard that scientists have figured out
what’s causing the honeybee crisis, formally known as Colony Collapse
Disorder, in which these crucial pollinators have been dying off in
droves. The stories—all over radio, online news sites and
newspapers—may say more about journalism than about dead bees.
Some background. Since 2004, something has been killing worker bees
that go out to gather nectar and, by the by, pollinate crops by
carrying pollen from one plant to another. About one-quarter of
commercial honeybee colonies in the U.S. have been affected, and the
death toll is something on the order of tens of billions of bees.
Commercial beekeepers are panicking and farmers are worried that their
crops are at risk (or that they’ll have to pay more to beekeepers for
pollination service). In the U.S., some $14.6 billion worth of
crops—one-third of the nation’s food crops—is pollinated by honeybees.
But no one knows what’s killing the bees. So: Big Problem. Big Mystery.
Guaranteed headlines.
When the high-profile and well-respected journal Science therefore alerted reporters to its imminent online publication of a paper identifying a virus as a possible cause of Colony Collapse Disorder,
and organized a teleconference on Wednesday, and every university and
company involved in the research sent out hyperventilating press
releases, you could almost hear scepticism falling by the wayside. No
matter how solid the study, it was going to get a lot of ink. It did.
But during the press conference, the scientists practically tripped
over themselves cautioning that they had not come close to proving that
their suspect—a virus called the Israeli Acute Paralysis Virus—was
guilty in the massive bee die-off. Yes, the scientists had found the
virus in CCD-infected hives but not in healthy ones. But, they write,
“We have not proven a causal relationship between any infectious agent
and CCD.” All they can say is that the presence of IAPV in hives
afflicted by CCD “indicate that IAPV is a significant marker for CCD.”
Note the use of the word “marker.” That means something is lying
around with something else—like, say, gravestones are markers for
corpses. But gravestones don’t cause corpses, and IAPV might not cause
Colony Collapse Disorder. If it’s involved in a causal sense, it is
almost surely not the only cause.
To be sure, many reports of the study emphasized this uncertainty.
The question is whether the study deserved the attention it got. But
the combination of a mystery that has intrigued the public, and the
drumbeat of PR in advance of the study’s release, probably made that
inevitable. And who knows—maybe IAPV will turn out to be guilty as
suspected. On the other hand, the Los Angeles Times dug up this
factlet: “researchers from the Army's Edgewood Chemical Biological
Center in Maryland cautioned that they had unpublished results in which
the Israeli virus had been found in colonies without the disorder.” And
Science itself, in a news story accompanying the study, quoted one scientist this way: "This paper only adds further to the confusion surrounding CCD."
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