"We want to give France its smile back!" Ségolène Royal told the
last major crowd of her campaign last night-an audience of 20,000 at
the Grand Palais in Lille. The Socialist candidate might start with her
campaign team. On the late night train back to the capital, it was long
faces and sunken shoulders for Royal's support staff. Word had come
from Paris that a new poll, the worst yet, would hit the morning
papers: 54.5 percent for Nicolas Sarkozy, 45.5 percent for Royal. With
less than a day left to plead for votes, and a tense debate,
the prizefight, now behind her, Royal's faithful are now in a time of
half-hearted hope, of creative excuses as they begin to imagine France
under a President Sarkozy.
At Lille, in the shadow of Brussels, Royal had a big name on hand,
former European Commission president Jacques Delors. In a rousing
speech, the ever-popular Delors, 81, told the crowd, "We don't want a
hard society, a renaissance of some sort of lesson-giving Bonapartism!"
When he called Royal to the stage, the crowd roared. Her campaign song
-- which can only be described as a sort of Red Army Choir toe-tapper
set to a techno beat -- thumped up. "Ségolène, you can count on
uuuuuusss, Vic-to-ry is on its waaaaaaaay...."
Royal took her time getting to the stage, but the crowd was ecstatic
when a red-jacketed Royal finally waded through the crowd to tick off
the greatest-hits of her campaign catchphrases. "You are the experts of
what you live!" "My project is you!" Red roses rained down to her feet
as she spoke. "This wave is not yet at its peak," she proclaimed,
begging the crowd to go forward with her in a refrain of "Dare! Dare!
Dare!" Offstage after Royal's performance, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the
social-democrat who could be prime minister if Royal wins or angle for
the presidency in 2012 if she loses, was, not surprisingly, upbeat.
"Excellent, excellent, I've never been so confident."
Strauss-Kahn also shrugged off the latest bad-news poll. "Experience
shows that... the very morning of the vote there are still 10 percent
of French people who haven't decided. As they leave their homes to go
to the polling place, they haven't chosen who they are going to vote
for. So I think it's still very open. I think yesterday's debate will
have a delayed effect -- people have to reflect on it," Strauss-Kahn
argued. "Ségolène Royal gave an image of herself that was very
different from the one a lot of French people might have had of her, a
lot more firm, a lot more solid." Royal's son Thomas Hollande, 21, a
key member of her Internet campaign team, also talked up his mother's
debate performance: "It gave us a lot of hope and I'm sure she's going
to win," he said.
But Royal's supporters sounded less certain. "Frankly, I'm scared. I
assure you that I'm scared," says Gillène Baratte, a union leader. "I
would have preferred that people throw out Sarkozy and have [Francois]
Bayrou, for a Bayrou/Ségolène ballot. At least, we'd have had a
democrat, we'd be less scared." But Baratte already seems resigned to
defeat, blaming the "ambient machismo" that says a woman can't handle
the presidency. "She is very beautiful," Baratte says of her candidate.
"And the current government ministers -- the women -- are very
jealous." Then there's the matter of Sarkozy's solid political and
media connections. " He used his ministerial function to prepare his
campaign. He muzzled certain media organizations," complains Baratte.
Jean-Marc Platteau, another supporter in the crowd, also hovered
between hope and resignation. "It will be difficult. I don't think that
France is ready," he says. "It's true that, Sarkozy's positions,
as worrisome as they are, might seem more clear for a lot of French
people. We know more where we are going with him. Personally, I don't
want that France, but-." he trails off. Platteau is already allowing
himself to cringe at a future with Sarkozy. "I hope we don't have a
little Bush," he says. "The suburbs will explode. It's inevitable. It's
such a discourse of confrontation."
The candidate herself echoed that theme as the campaign entered its
final hours. Sarkozy would be a "dangerous choice" whose election would
lead to renewed violence in the tense suburbs, Royal said this morning.
Sarkozy's retort? "She's not in a good mood this morning. It must be
the opinion polls."