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Why It Matters

  • Borderline Case

    Mac Margolis | Mar 14, 2008 10:35 AM

    Politicians on both sides of the partisan divide in the U.S. rarely miss a chance to beat the drums over the perils of the immigrant tide and the imperative to "secure our borders." That might be a good idea. With the world's largest economy on a slide, the dream of making America is looking less lustrous every day, and now the U.S. risks seeing one of its most dynamic and creative sources of human capital blow away with the prairie dust. 

    There are already troubling signs. A recent study by the Inter-American Development Bank reports that the flow of dollars Latin American and Caribbean immigrants send back home is slackening. In 2007, Latins living in the U.S. remitted $66 billion to their native countries. That's not half bad (a record amount, in fact) but what drew the Bank's attention was the modest 7 percent increase over the previous year. Until then the flow of dollars back home had been expanding at double digit rates every year. Last year the nominal sum of incoming migrant dollars actually fell in Brazil, from $7.4 billion to $7.1 billion.

     

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  • How to Beat the Raging TB Contagion

    Mac Margolis | Feb 29, 2008 06:57 AM

    Call It the cough heard round the world. The World Health Organization's Feb. 26 report on how super strains of tuberculosis are on the loose has shaken physicians and policy makers everywhere to the marrow. And rightly so. The study, based on a massive survey of 90,000 patients worldwide, is eloquent testimony to the ravages of a modern killer: multi drug resistant tuberculosis, known as MDR TB in the chilly shorthand of public health, and its even deadlier next of kin, extensively drug resistant tuberculosis, or XTR-TB, which is practically untreatable.  

    It's no surprise that poor countries, rife with malnutrition, claustrophobic slums, and especially AIDS are super TB's closest ally. Precisely because HIV strafes the human immune system, patients are sitting ducks for infection. That's why almost everywhere that AIDS is prevalent,  tuberculosis is soaring. Worst hit are the fragments of the old Soviet Union (led by Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, where one in four new tb patients have the super variety) and Africa, with the highest rate of TB in the world and the worst public health statistics (only six nations on the continent managed to report to Geneva).  At this rate the Economic Forum at Davos might have to be scrapped in favor of the sanatorium that once crowned that Magic Mountain.

    There is one bright spot in the developing world's deathlock with TB: Brazil. That may sound odd. Nearly a quarter of the 185 million Brazilians live below the poverty line, where contagions rage, and some 620,000 have AIDS, a third of all cases in Latin America. But unlike almost every other developing nation, Brazil has not seen the overall TB infection rate spike - much less a runaway outbreak of MDR-TB - among the most vulnerable population. The reason is as simple as it is controversial: free meds for HIV and AIDS patients. In 1996, the Brazilian congress passed a law requiring the government to hand out antiretrovirals to anyone with HIV free of charge. Drug companies were disgruntled, not least because Brazil browbeat them into slashing prices for the three-way cocktail of antiretrovirals, the state of the art medicine used to combat the virus. The same policy encouraged nearly two dozen other developing countries to take on the biggest pharmaceutical corporations as well.

    No one ever claimed Brazil was a health spa, of course. After a brief lull, mosquito-borne dengue fever has come raging back, including the killer hemorrhagic variety. An outbreak of micobacteriosis, which causes a nasty hospital infection, leaves lasting surgery scars and can withstand all but the most drastic disinfectants, is on the loose. And while in theory anyone may be treated at the country's public hospitals, chronic underfunding has apparently forced brain surgeons in Rio de Janeiro to resort to common power tools, like home drills, in the operating rooms.

    Still, it's hard to argue with success. A team of international scientists recently crunched the numbers and found that Brazilians living with AIDS who reguarly took the three-way cocktail of antiretrovirals had 80 percent lower TB infection rates than did patients who were not treated. (The study reviewed data from 1995 to 2001, but researchers say that the trend holds to this day.) The bottom line is that systematic use of  cutting edge HIV/AIDS medicine may be one of the best ways to keep this millennial scourge at bay. That may not be the best news for Big Pharma's shareholders. But it ought to give public health authorites a shot in the arm.

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  • Mexico's Oil Fetish

    Joseph Contreras | Feb 1, 2008 11:55 AM
    In an age when even Fidel Castro has rolled out the welcome mat for foreign energy companies wanting to drill for oil off Cuba's shores, the Mexican left is stubbornly vowing to uphold the national government's monopoly on oil and electricity production. State ownership of energy resources is the last sacred-cow left over from decades of rule by the Institutional Revolutionary Party, during which a large chunk of the Mexican economy belonged to the government and certain strategic industries were off-limits to foreign investment. When President Carlos Salinas de Gortari sold off the phone company, a television network, two airlines, several banks and hundreds of other public-sector enterprises in the 1990s, the notoriously corrupt and inefficient PEMEX oil corporation and two state-owned electrical power utilities were withheld from the auction block for reasons that had more to do with patriotic sentimentality than rational economic policy. More
  • Cuba's Bold Blogger

    Joseph Contreras | Jan 25, 2008 12:05 PM
    Apart from publicly known dissidents, nearly all Cubans who are critical of their country and the Castro regime that has ruled it for 49 years hide behind a cloak of anonymity. Not so with Yoani Sanchez: the Generacion Y blog she launched last April displays her name and photo, even though the 32-year-old mother of one pulls no punches in her portrayals of a decrepit and venal Communist system that has failed young Cubans. Perhaps most surprising of all, Sanchez has yet to run afoul of the authorities despite recent profiles that appeared in The Wall Street Journal and on CNN en Espanol. When Fidel Castro was fully in charge, professional independent journalists were routinely thrown into jail for even mildly negative coverage of conditions on the island. But since Fidel fell ill in the summer of 2006 and transferred power to his brother Raul, Cubans have been urged to "debate fearlessly"and come forward with solutions to the many "systemic" problems like rampant corruption and inadequate public transportation plaguing their country. The apparent decision to tolerate Sanchez and her unsparing critique of what she calls "Stalinism with conga drums" is viewed by some analysts as more evidence of a loosening of the leash under the younger Castro. More
  • Brazil's Bulls Are Running--Up Hill

    Mac Margolis | Jan 18, 2008 05:40 AM

    In Brazil these days, armor is the new normal. From bullet-proof luxury rides to the caveirão, a police assault wagon built like a tank, Brazilians have fortified themselves against the hazards of modern living. In Rio, one evangelical Christian church in a crime-ridden favela is raising a steel-plated, 30-meter containing wall to keep the flock from harm's way when the shooting starts. So fashionable is the concept these days that Brazilians have even come to believe that their charmed economy is innured to world economic downturn.

    No doubt there is some ground for optimism. Inflation is under control. Hard currency reserves are topping $160 billion, a continental record. Foreign debt is history. And while the largest economy on earth skates on the edge of recession, Brazilian officials confidently project growth of 5 percent or more this year, or, if the international markets tank, "maybe a little less," shrugs Finance Minister Guido Mantega. Give us your best shot, the bulls in Brazil seem to be saying, for Latin America's drowsy  giant has not only stirred but "decoupled" - or broken free - from the vagaries of the globe's overlord economy. 

      Dizzy trading at Bovespa

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  • The $800,000 Suitcase and La Presidenta

    Joseph Contreras | Jan 15, 2008 02:22 PM

    Photo: Associated Press

    "Ego," the Peruvian novelist Mario Vargas Llosa once memorably observed, "is the little Argentine in all of us." The truth of this pithy maxim never ceased to impress me during the 27 months when I was stationed in Buenos Aires in the late 1980s as Newsweek's South America correspondent. The Argentines' capacity for self-absorption seemed endless and would express itself in a number of ways, from the collective obsession with a storied past, when Argentina ranked among the world's ten richest countries in the early decades of the early 20th century, to the need to highlight their more European society and culture vis-a-vis those of their Latin American neighbors. To this day, the international news sections of Buenos Aires' leading dailies regularly feature stories analyzing how Argentina is factoring into the calculations of top policymakers in Washington, as if the editors at those newspapers can't quite bring themselves to tell readers that their country barely flickers on the radar screens of the Bush White House or Condoleezza Rice's State Department.

    That national trait may help to explain the imbroglio that Argentina's recently inaugurated President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner created for herself within days of taking office last month. Last August a Venezuelan-American businessman named Guido Antonini Wilson made headlines when an alert customs agent at Buenos Aires' main international airport discovered nearly $800,000 in cash in his luggage that he had failed to declare. Antonini surrendered the money without protest and left the country in a hurry
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  • Humility: Latin America's new plat du jour

    Mac Margolis | Dec 14, 2007 05:24 AM

    Latin America's rainmakers are not in the habit of eating humble pie. Until just the other day, after all, hyper-popular leaders like Hugo Chávez of Venezuela, Evo Morales of Bolivia and Brazil's Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva could do just about what they pleased, leaving their political foes little choice but to stand by and stew in frustration. But if recent events are any indication, the Latin charismacrats may have to get used to an unsavory set of new rules.

    Across the region, democracy is biting back. On Dec. 1, Venezuelans handed Chávez a stinging defeat by turning down a 69-point referendum proposing everything from curbing private property to unlimited reelection. It was El Comandante's first loss at the ballot box, and a sign that the ballyhooed Bolivarian revolution will not be implemented by steamroller. Nor are things looking so rosy for Chávez's closest disciple, Morales, the coca-leaf grower-turned-messianic leader, who vowed to recreate Bolivia by recasting the constitution to redeem the country's teeming poor and forgotten. Now he presides over a nation riven ethnically, between the destitute indigenous majority and the relatively well-heeled light skinned heirs of the Spanish colonialists; geographically, between the hardscrabble Altiplano and the fertile, oil-and-gas-rich lowlands; and ideologically, between the left-wing nationalists who blame foreigners for Bolivia's woes and the globalists who want desperately to connect to world markets. So volatile is the political climate, the constituent assembly had to finish drafting the new constitution under military guard.

    Now it looks like Lula's turn for a comeuppance.
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  • A Coup By Stealth in Bolivia?

    Joseph Contreras | Dec 4, 2007 03:54 PM
    The attention of Latin America has been riveted on Venezuela in recent weeks and with good reason, given Hugo Chavez' naked attempt to extend his presidency indefinitely and the voters' historic rejection of those designs in last Sunday's referendum.... More
  • The State Department's Top Man on Latin America

    Joseph Contreras | Nov 27, 2007 10:53 AM
    While the eyes of the world are understandably focused on today's Middle East peace summit in Annapolis, Md., another diplomatic parley is getting underway in Washington that has a direct bearing on U.S. policy in Latin America. Assistant Secretary of State for Western Hemispheric Affairs Thomas Shannon, Jr. is hosting his counterpart in the Chinese Foreign Ministry for two days of talks at the State Department that will concentrate on economic development issues and specific countries in the region that are of interest to both Washington and Beijing. China's bilateral trade with Latin America has nearly tripled in the past four years, and this week's meetings with director-general Yang Wan Ming represent a follow-up to the discussions that Shannon held with Chinese officials during a visit to Beijing in April 2006. That trip represented the first ever visit to China by the State Department's top official on Latin America, and it reflected in part mounting concern in the Bush Administration over Beijing's dramatically enhanced profile in a region that has traditionally been viewed as Washington's natural sphere of influence. The opening of a low-profile channel of communication with the Chinese is also one more example of the quiet but effective diplomacy that has stamped Shannon's tenure as assistant secretary since he took over the position in the fall of 2005. More
  • Lula with a twist

    Mac Margolis | Nov 16, 2007 01:45 PM
    Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is hard to track. When he first took office five years ago, the former leftist firebrand took a sudden right and threw almost everyone off the rails. The onetime sworn enemy of "savage capitalism" turned into... More
  • The King and the Blowhard

    Joseph Contreras | Nov 14, 2007 11:53 AM

    Those of us who've had the misfortune of sitting through one of Hugo Chavez' interminable diatribes quietly savored the moment during last week's Ibero-American summit when Spain's King Juan Carlos bluntly asked the Venezuelan president "Why don't you shut up?"

    The royal outburst occurred on the final day of the international parley in the Chilean capital of Santiago, at a point when Spanish prime minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero was politely asking his South American counterpart to cease referring to Zapatero's right-wing predecessor Jose Maria Aznar as a "fascist." True to form, Chavez kept talking through Zapatero's comments even though the Venezuelan leader's microphone was turned off--at which point the usually courtly monarch could no longer contain himself and uttered the words so many of us in Latin America's foreign press corps have been longing to hear.

    Days later, the episode continues to be the talk of the region.
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  • Andes agonistes

    Mac Margolis | Nov 7, 2007 02:05 PM
    When Evo Morales took over as president of Bolivia in January of last year, no one imagined he was going to have an easy ride. After all, the fiery indigenous leader and onetime grower of coca leaf, the stuff which fuels the world cocaine trade, had reaped a whirlwind, riding into La Paz on a gale of social and ethnic unrest. Now it seems even the skeptics might have been optimistic. More
  • BRICs is for Brazil

    Mac Margolis | Oct 25, 2007 01:27 PM

    Stock markets in the developing world are not for sissies. Who can forget the scenes of late last decade, when financial contagion swept bourses from Bangkok to Buenos Aires, bringing traders to their knees? It was no different in Brazil, where in 1999 the overvalued real collapsed practically overnight, taking the São Paulo Stock Exchange (Bovespa) with it. It wasn't long before the sages started dissing Latin America's biggest economy, calling for financial rainmakers to take the B out of BRICs, the acronym for the world's trendiest emerging markets - Brazil, Russia, India and China.

    What a difference a decade makes. On October 26, the traders will be frantic again, this time clawing each other for a chance to get a piece of one of the world's hottest properties. Yes, Bovespa is going public. And if the market buzz is to be believed, by the closing bell on Friday, Brazil will have shepherded one of the largest IPOs of the year.

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  • Beauty and the Beast in Brazil

    Mac Margolis | Oct 3, 2007 03:39 PM

      Brazilian politics has never been for prudes, but the fortunes of Senate president Renan Calheiros and his onetime lover continue to arch eyebrows. Calheiros, as this blog last reported (Aug. 13), has been under fire since May, when he was caught sending wads of cash to Mônica Veloso,

     Mônica Veloso 

     with whom he had an extramarital affair and a child. Calheiros, who is not much to look at (below), has battled an irate public and fierce political foes ever since to save his own - how might the Brazilians put it? - "bum bum." Not so the fair Ms. Veloso, who has seen hers glorified from the printed page to cyberspace. A former journalist, she not only became one fo the country's biggest stories by revealing her ex's funny finances but now graces the cover of the anxiously awaited October edition of Brazilian Playboy, due to hit the stands on Oct. 9. Call it David and Goliath meets Beauty and the Beast. The whole imbroglio has kept a thousand gossips and eggheads busy parsing the peculiarities of politics and propriety in Latin America's biggest nation.

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  • Dumb and Dumber

    Joseph Contreras | Oct 3, 2007 03:38 PM
    No one ever accused Vicente Fox of being the sharpest knife in the drawer. Over the years the former Mexican president has saluted the Colombian Nobel laureate Mario Vargas Llosa (who is actually Peruvian and has never won the coveted prize for literature),... More
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