
LOS ANGELES, Calif.--Reading the recent flurry of stories about Barack Obama--the Clinton-slayer! the youth candidate! the next Kennedy!--it'd
be easy to imagine that his campaign is all inspiration and little
perspiration at this point, with rainbows and starshine bursting from
the tailpipe of his tour bus. Obama both lampoons and slyly encourages
the perception. In New Hampshire and South Carolina, for example, the
senator was fond of telling audiences that "at some point in the
evening, a light
is going to shine down and you will have an epiphany and you’ll say, ‘I
have to vote for Barack.’" Next up: levitation.
On the
trail, though, the work of winning over real, live voters before Super
Tuesday is a little less miraculous. In advance of tonight's final
pre-Feb. 5 debate in Hollywood, Obama scheduled exactly one stop in
Southern California: at the Los Angeles Trade Technical College in
downtown L.A.. In case you're curious, LATTC is a) filled entirely with
young people and b) 53 percent Hispanic. "I can't do this without you,"
said Obama from a stage in the center of the school's Spanish Colonial
Revival courtyard. He meant it.
A surge in youth voter turnout
propelled Obama to victory in Iowa and South Carolina, where the kids
picked him over Hillary three-to-one. But the campaign can't possibly
devote as much time and energy to mobilizing young
voters in 22 states that vote on Super Tuesday as he did in the handful
of early contests--meaning that the next five days will be spent
targeting the 'utes where they can really make a difference. California
is one of those places. Obama trails Clinton statewide, but turning out
a ton of core supporters in key spots (like Los Angeles) could help
keep him close in the proportional delegate tally.
The Latino/Hispanic vote will also be crucial. In Nevada, Obama lost
Latinos to Clinton by the same margin he typically wins young voters.
He wants to do better on Super Tuesday, and it's easy to see why:
Latinos make up 22.8 percent of the eligible voters in California, 17
percent of eligible
voters in Arizona, 12.3 percent in Colorado, 11.4 percent in New York
and 9.9 percent in New Jersey. Those states alone award more than half
of the day's delegates, and unless Obama is content to cede them to
Clinton, he'll need to convince at least a few more Latinos to break
his way.
He
gave it his all at today's appearance, starting his remarks by addressing the historical tensions between blacks and Latinos. "It's so important to come together," he said. "We've heard the cynical
talk about how black folks, white folks, Latinos will not come
together; we've heard talk about the so-called black-brown divide; and
whenever I hear this, I take it seriously, because I'm reminded of the
Latino brothers and sisters I worked alongside on the streets of
Chicago two decades ago."
The rest of the speech was similarly targeted. Monday's Ted Kennedy
endorsement was portrayed in the press largely as a symbolic gesture--a
passing of the JFK baton--but this morning Obama put the support of the
liberal lion, who's hugely popular with Latinos for championing
immigration reform, to practical use on the stump. "I fought with Ted
Kennedy to work on comprehensive immigration reform," he said to
thunderous applause, later adding that "as my friend and supporter Ted
Kennedy says, in this country, as in all countries, health care should
be a fundamental right." Decrying the state of public education, Obama
mentioned how he recently read an article in the Los Angeles Times
about a mother frustrated with her son's failing school who came to
conclusion that "maybe the system is not designed for people like us."
Her name: Martha Sanchez. On immigration, the senator said he was
"really upset with the tone of debate... in this country"--mainly
because "folks are focusing on south of the border, but they don't talk
about immigrants from Ireland or Poland." And when the crowd started
chanting "Yes, We Can," Obama responded, unprompted, in Spanish: "Sí,
se puede."
The starshine, of course, hasn't vanished. "I believe
a new kind of politics is possible," Obama said near the end of his
speech. "This election is a choice not between regions or religions or
genders; not black versus white or Latino versus Asian. It's not young
versus old. This is a choice about the past versus future." Point
taken. But the future is still a ways away. Right now, with the
down-and-dirty decisions of Super Tuesday looming, inspiration only
counts for so much. The rest is sweat.
And even a hope-monger knows that.