A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
WHAT CLINTON WISHES SHE COULD SAY
(John F. Harris and Jim VandeHei, Politico)
Why, ask many Democrats and media commentators, won’t Hillary Rodham Clinton see the long odds against her, put her own ambitions aside, and gracefully embrace Barack Obama as the inevitable Democratic nominee? Here is why: She and Bill Clinton both devoutly believe that Obama’s
likely victory is a disaster-in-waiting. Naive Democrats just don’t see
it. And a timid, pro-Obama press corps, in their view, won’t tell the
story. But Hillary Clinton won’t tell it, either. A lot of coverage of the Clinton campaign supposes them to be in
kitchen-sink mode — hurling every pot and pan, no matter the damage
this might do to Obama as the likely Democratic nominee in the fall. In fact, the Democratic race has not been especially rough by
historical standards. What’s more, our conversations with Democrats who
speak to the Clintons make plain that their public comments are only
the palest version of what they really believe: that if Obama is the
nominee, a likely Democratic victory would turn to a near-certain
defeat... This view has been an article of faith among Clinton advisers for
months, but it got powerful new affirmation last week with Obama’s
clumsy ruminations about why “bitter” small-town voters turn to guns
and God.
MORE: The Four Big Problems with Obama's 'Cling' Fling (Mickey Kaus, Slate)
IS JOHN MCCAIN BOB DOLE OR DWIGHT EISENHOWER?
(John Heilemann, New York)
For all the hosannas
being sung to him these days, and for all the waves of fear and
trembling rippling through the Democratic masses, the truth is that
McCain is a candidate of pronounced and glaring weaknesses. A candidate
whose capacity to raise enough money to beat back the tidal wave of
Democratic moola is seriously in doubt. A candidate unwilling or unable
to animate the GOP base. A candidate whose operation has never
recovered from the turmoil of last summer, still skeletal and ragtag
and technologically antediluvian. (“Fund-raising on the Web? You don’t
say. You can raise money through those tubes?”) Whose cadre of
confidantes contains so many lobbyists that the Straight Talk Express
often has the vibe of a rolling K Street clubhouse. Whose awkward
positioning issues-wise was captured brilliantly by Pat Buchanan: “The
jobs are never coming back, the illegals are never going home, but
we’re going to have a lot more wars.” A candidate one senior moment—or
one balky teleprompter—away from being transformed from a grizzled
warrior into Grandpa Simpson. A candidate, that is, who poses an
existential question for Democrats: If you can’t beat a guy like this
in a year like this, with a vastly unpopular Republican war still
ongoing and a Republican recession looming, what precisely is the point
of you?
MR. AND MS. SPOKEN
(Hendrik Hertzberg, New Yorker)
Along with its various derivatives, “misspeak” has become one of the
signature verbal workhorses of this interminable political season,
right up there with “narrative,” “Day One,” and “hope.” It carries the
suggestion that, while the politician’s perfectly functioning brain has
dispatched the correct signals, the mouth has somehow received and
transmitted them in altered form. “Misspeak” is a powerful word, a
magical word. It is a word that is apparently thought capable, in its
contemporary political usage, of isolating a palpable, possibly toxic
untruth, sealing it up in an airtight bag, and disposing of it
harmlessly.
CANDIDATES LET ADS DO THE TALKING
(Larry Eichel, Philadelphia Inquirer)
The phrase had a nice ring to it. With six weeks to campaign here,
Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton would make Pennsylvania "the
new Iowa." They'd give it the same up-close-and-personal treatment as the first state in the presidential selection process. Except it hasn't turned out that way. Fueled by record spending, the campaign in Pennsylvania has been an
orgy of television commercials - particularly for Obama - with
candidate travel playing a distinctly secondary role... The amount of money expended on television has been staggering. For
the week ending tomorrow, Obama spent about $2.5 million statewide,
Clinton about $1 million. No political candidate had ever spent $2.5 million for a week's worth of television in Pennsylvania. "Even considering inflation, it breaks every record by far," said
Neil Oxman, a Philadelphia-based political consultant with nearly three
decades of experience in state politics. "And that doesn't count what
he's doing on radio."
A HILLARY CLINTON PRESIDENCY
(Carl Bernstein, CNN)
What will a Hillary Clinton presidency look like? The answer by now
seems obvious: It will look like her presidential
campaign, which in turn looks increasingly like the first Clinton
presidency. Which is to say, high-minded ideals, lowered execution,
half truths,
outright lies (and imaginary flights), take-no prisoners politics, some
very good policy ideas, a presidential spouse given to wallowing in
anger and self-pity, and a succession of aides and surrogates pushed
under the bus when things don’t go right. Which is to say, often. And
endless psychodrama: the essential Clintonian experience that
mesmerizes the press, confuses the citizenry, confounds members of both
parties in Congress (not to mention the Clintons themselves, at times)
and pretty much keeps the rest of the world constantly amused and
fixated.
MCCAIN MORE CONSERVATIVE THAN HIS IMAGE
(Libby Quaid, Associated Press)
The independent label sticks to John McCain because he antagonizes fellow Republicans and likes to work with Democrats. But a different label applies to his actual record: conservative. The likely Republican presidential nominee is much more conservative
than voters appear to realize. McCain leans to the right on issue after
issue, not just on the Iraq war but also on abortion, gay rights, gun control and other issues that matter to his party's social conservatives... In a national Pew survey earlier this year,
voters placed McCain in the middle, where they placed themselves, when
asked to judge the ideology of Bush and the presidential candidates.
They placed Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama far to the left. And voters who back Clinton and Obama are open to McCain. Nearly a third of Clinton supporters said they would back McCain if
Obama becomes the Democratic nominee, and more than a quarter of Obama
supporters said they would back McCain over Clinton, according to Associated Press-Ipsos polling released Thursday.
MORE: McCain's Campaign Will Be a Long Balancing Act (Albert R. Hunt, Bloomberg)
The Republican Party's success in
five of the last seven U.S. presidential elections has flowed
from the enthusiastic support of a diverse collection of
economic, social and national security conservatives. That coalition is fraying. John McCain, the only
Republican who would have a shot at winning the presidency,
faces a challenge in keeping this three-legged stool intact for
the November election.
'STEADY HAND' FOR THE GOP GUIDES MCCAIN ON A NEW PATH
(Kate Zernike, New York Times)
When Senator John McCain’s campaign was collapsing last summer, it was Charlie Black who set the comeback strategy: Mr. McCain had to win New Hampshire. When conservative opposition threatened to derail Mr. McCain just as
he was surging again this winter, it was Charlie Black who called
prominent conservatives to secure their backing. And when Mr. McCain
was finally the last man standing, it was Charlie Black who engineered
the campaign’s takeover of the Republican National Committee. “The Republican Party’s
quintessential company man,” as one friend calls him, Mr. Black has
worked in every Republican presidential campaign since 1972, and
sometimes a couple each season, being diplomat enough to get along with
both sides in some of the fiercest rivalries. In between, and
often at the same time, he has parlayed his political connections to
become one of Washington’s most successful lobbyists, making him an
embodiment of the city’s permanent establishment. Now 60, Mr.
Black is easing Mr. McCain into his new role as standard bearer for a
party that the senator has clashed with and even snubbed over the
years. Mr. Black has done so in the quiet way that has made him such an
enduring player in Washington.
DEMOCRATS WRANGLE OVER WORDS AND BELIEFS
(John M. Broder, New York Times)
The Democratic contenders addressed the Compassion Forum at Messiah
College here, one after the other. Their cold, quick encounter as they
traded places on the stage reflected the hostility between them over
the past two days as Mrs. Clinton has repeatedly hammered Mr. Obama for
remarks he made at a fund-raiser suggesting that some voters turned to
religion and guns as consolation for their bitterness about their
economic hardship.