A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.
MAKING IT: HOW CHICAGO SHAPED OBAMA
(Ryan Lizza, New Yorker)
Obama likes to discuss his unusual childhood—his abandonment by his
father and his upbringing by a sometimes single mother and his
grandparents in Indonesia and Hawaii—and the three years in the
nineteen-eighties when he worked as a community organizer in Chicago,
periods of his life chronicled at length in his first memoir, “Dreams
from My Father.” He occasionally refers to his time in the United
States Senate, which he wrote about in his second memoir, “The Audacity
of Hope.” But his life in Chicago from 1991 until his victorious Senate
campaign is a lacuna in his autobiography. It is also the period that
formed him as a politician. Some Obama supporters professed shock when,
recently, he abandoned a pledge to stay within the public
campaign-finance system if the presumptive Republican nominee, Senator
John McCain, agreed to do the same. Preckwinkle’s concern about
Obama—that he is a pure political animal—suddenly became more
widespread; commentators abruptly stopped using the words “callow” and
“naïve.” Chicago is not Obama’s home town, but it’s where he chose to forge his
identity. Several weeks ago, he moved many of the Democratic National
Committee’s operations from Washington to Chicago, making the city the
unofficial capital of the Democratic Party; his campaign headquarters
are in an office building in the Loop, Chicago’s downtown business
district. But Chicago, with its reputation as a center of vicious and
corrupt politics, may also be the place that Obama needs to leave
behind.
MORE: In Obama's Circle, Chicago Remains the Tie That Binds (Shailagh Murray, Washington Post)
For once, Barack Obama left his iPod
and stack of news clips at his seat and worked the front cabin of his
campaign's chartered plane, laughing and reminiscing with the people
who know him best. The senator from Illinois does not typically travel with an entourage,
instead spending his time on the plane reading, working or listening to
music. But this was a special occasion -- the night last month when he
was claiming the Democratic presidential nomination. Joining him and
his wife, Michelle, for the flight from Chicago to St. Paul, Minn.,
were half a dozen of their closest friends, a biracial cross section of
the city's business and professional elite... Some were mainly social friends from Hyde Park, their Chicago neighborhood. Some have played a major role in Obama's campaign... Together they constitute the core of Obama's inner circle, the friends
he had before he became a senator and entertained thoughts of the
presidency, and who he would bring with him in a sense if he ends up in
the White House.
MCCAIN'S HILLARY PROBLEM
(John Heilemann, New York)
In ways large and small, strategic and tactical, temperamental and
attitudinal, the McCain campaign strikes me as having been cut from the
same cloth as Hillary Clinton’s. Same story with the candidates
themselves, in particular when it comes to their jaundiced perceptions
of their rival. For supporters of Barack Obama, this might seem cheery
news, since those perceptions led Clinton time and again to misplay her
hand. But general elections are very different from primaries—and there
are reasons to worry that Clintonianism, taken to its logical (and
gruesome) extreme, may serve McCain better than it did the real McCoy. That
Clinton and McCain would run similar races might seem odd. Their
ideological differences are severe, and no one sane would ever call
Clinton a maverick or McCain a feminist. But it’s also true that they
share a view of politics and policy... It
was this conception of politics and the presidency, however, that got
Hillary into so much trouble in her battle with Obama. And while McCain
largely avoids the rhetorical traps she fell into—the laundry-listy
rhetoric, the countless small-bore policy proposals—the thrust of his
campaign is much the same as hers was: The emphasis on résumé, the
willful avoidance of grappling with the desire for change so evident in
the electorate, and, perhaps most problematic, the eschewal of big,
bold, animating ideas and grand thematics.
OBAMA: MY PLAN FOR IRAQ
(Barack Obama, New York Times)
The call by Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki for a timetable for
the removal of American troops from Iraq presents an enormous
opportunity. We should seize this moment to begin the phased
redeployment of combat troops that I have long advocated, and that is
needed for long-term success in Iraq and the security interests of the
United States... Only by redeploying our troops can we press the Iraqis to reach
comprehensive political accommodation and achieve a successful
transition to Iraqis’ taking responsibility for the security and
stability of their country. Instead of seizing the moment and
encouraging Iraqis to step up, the Bush administration and Senator
McCain are refusing to embrace this transition — despite their previous
commitments to respect the will of Iraq’s sovereign government. They
call any timetable for the removal of American troops “surrender,” even
though we would be turning Iraq over to a sovereign Iraqi government. But
this is not a strategy for success — it is a strategy for staying that
runs contrary to the will of the Iraqi people, the American people and
the security interests of the United States. That is why, on my first
day in office, I would give the military a new mission: ending this
war.
OBAMA, SHAMAN
(Michael Knox Beran, City Journal)
In the patois of punditry, “charismatic” has come to mean little more
than “like a rock star.” But the striking thing about the charismatic
leader is the extent to which his followers regard him as a healer of
wounds, an alleviator of pain. In this sense, surely, Senator Barack
Obama is charismatic. The carefully knotted ties and the dark,
conservatively tailored suits only accentuate the exoticness of his
shamanism; he has entered the American psyche not as a hero but as a
healer.The country, or much of it, has longed for such a figure, a man from
the once-oppressed race whose rise to power will atone for the sins of
slavery and racial stigmatization. But Obama’s rhetoric encompasses
more than a promise of racial healing. He is not the first politician
to argue that politics can redeem us, but in posing as the Adonis who
will turn winter into spring, he revives one of the more pernicious
political swindles: the belief that a charismatic leader can ordain a
civic happy hour and give a people a sense of community that will make
them feel less bad.
THE ENTHUSIASM GAP, PART II
(Stephen Hayes, Weekly Standard)
This is McCain being McCain. He clearly believes that bipartisanship
is among the highest virtues of political life. But it also reflects
the campaign's strategic attempt to position McCain as a centrist in
order to win the votes of independents and even some Democrats. There are risks to this strategy and the enthusiasm gap is chief among them. A Washington Post/ABC
News poll last month found that nearly half of the liberals surveyed
are enthusiastic about supporting Barack Obama, while only 13 percent
of conservatives are enthusiastic about McCain. More generally, 91
percent of self-identified Obama supporters are "enthusiastic" about
their candidate; 54 percent say they are "very enthusiastic."
Seventy-three percent of such McCain supporters say they are
"enthusiastic" about his candidacy, but only 17 percent say they are
"very enthusiastic."... More
troubling for the McCain campaign is that more than half of those who
identified themselves as McCain backers--54 percent--say they are "less
excited than usual" about their candidate. It is not surprising that conservatives are not warming to a
candidate who likes to talk about climate change and government
subsidies for displaced workers. But this coldness is increasingly
alarming to some McCain backers. They believe that all of McCain's
efforts to win over Democrats and independents can only pay off if he
is able to get conservatives to turn out to vote for him in November.
NOT ALL DEMOCRATS WANT TO RIDE OBAMA'S COATTAILS
(June Kronholz, Wall Street Journal)
The Illinois senator is likely to spur voter turnout among
African-Americans and college students in some districts where
Democrats hope to pick up House seats now held by Republicans or to
fend off Republican challenges. But other Democrats facing tough
re-election campaigns could see Sen. Obama's politics and his weakness
among working-class whites as a liability. "Some of these Democrats are trying to walk a fine
line" between courting black voters and holding on to whites, said
Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Report, a nonpartisan political
handicapper. Democratic candidates may embrace, ignore or run away from
Sen. Obama, or perhaps some of each, he added. Meanwhile, vulnerable Republicans, many of whom are in
closely divided or Democratic-leaning districts, could see John McCain,
the Republican presidential candidate, as an asset because of his
appeal to independents. If the Arizona senator runs a competitive
presidential race, he "could provide air cover for our candidates" in
what could otherwise be a difficult year for Republicans, said Rep. Tom
Cole of Oklahoma, who heads the Republicans' House re-election campaign.
MCCAIN VERSUS THE EIGHT-YEAR ELECTORAL JINX
(Robert David Sullivan, Boston Globe)
President Bush has left presumptive GOP nominee John McCain with a
lot of problems, but the biggest may be the weak 50.7 percent of the
vote that Bush received when running for reelection. That's a
problematic number because American political parties almost always
lose support when trying to secure a third term in the White House. The
last time that a party improved its vote percentage after two terms was
in 1928, when Republican Herbert Hoover soundly beat Democrat Al Smith,
the first Catholic to be nominated to the presidency. Maybe
Barack Obama's status as another "first" will bring about another
exception to the rule. Then again, Smith wasn't on the ballot during an
unpopular war and a scary economy. Since 1928, there have been six elections in which one of the major
parties was seeking a third consecutive term in the White House - three
for each major party. Only two attempts were successful. Democrat
Franklin Roosevelt won a third term in 1940, and Republican George H.
W. Bush succeeded Ronald Reagan in 1988; in both cases, the vote was
much closer than it had been in the previous election. Not so lucky
were Richard Nixon in 1960, Hubert Humphrey in 1968, Gerald Ford in
1976, and Al Gore in 2000. In 24 states, the party seeking a
third term lost ground in all six elections. These include Michigan,
which the McCain campaign is targeting as its best chance to pick up a
state won by John Kerry in 2004, and also the states of Colorado, Ohio,
and Virginia, which the GOP is struggling to keep in its column this
year.
MCCAIN TAKES A SOCIAL SECURITY RISK
(Peter Wallsten, Los Angeles Times)
It was a spectacular flop: a president making dozens of fruitless trips
around the country to build support for a plan his own party's
leadership refused to accept. But President Bush's failed push to privatize Social Security has not
deterred John McCain from putting forward the same idea -- and from
risking a similar political disaster. McCain, the presumed Republican presidential nominee, spoke several
times last week about changing how the popular retirement program is
funded, at one point calling it a "disgrace" that younger workers are
forced to pay for a plan that, in his view, is unlikely to benefit them
when they retire. Democrats are gearing up to turn McCain's stand on Social Security, and
his willingness to consider a privatization plan, into a key campaign
issue. They say changing the program in that way would undermine
retirees' benefits, and they hope to use the issue to harm the Arizona
senator's support among a set of voters who tilt toward him -- seniors.
MCCAIN FINDS INSPIRATION IN ANOTHER GOP MAVERICK
(Jill Zuckman, Chicago Tribune)
At his Hidden Valley ranch near Sedona, Ariz., Sen. John McCain
takes his guests for long hikes across the creek and up the hill,
pointing out species of birds, plants and wildlife, and occasionally
serving as medic to extract cactus thorns from his friends. The 67 bird species that populate the valley provide McCain with
fodder for noting a black hawk's nest, a woodpecker's favorite post or
a story about the time he watched a bird teach its baby to fly. In many
ways, McCain's Arizona weekends are a reflection of himself, but also
one of his favorite presidents, Theodore Roosevelt, a naturalist,
taxidermist, hunter, explorer and father of what later became the
National Park Service. "If you wanted to get some insight into John McCain, what kind of
figures in history that he has a good view of, Roosevelt would be at
the top," said Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C.. "He understood that Teddy
Roosevelt was a flawed man, but yeah, he admires his grit,
determination, taking on the special interests, his foreign policy
expertise. He's a real admirer of T.R."
CANDIDATES' TAX PLANS AGREE: MORE DEBT
(David M. Dickson, Washington Times)
The differences between the tax policies being promoted by Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain are stark, but neither candidate's proposal tackles the nation's worsening fiscal problems, analysts say. If Congress fully adopts the next president's tax policies unrelated to
health care, average federal taxes in 2009 for the middle fifth of the
American population would decline by $1,042 under an Obama
administration and by $319 under a McCain administration, according to
an analysis of their plans by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center (TPC),
a joint venture of the Urban Institute and the Brookings Institution. Likely
Republican nominee Sen. John McCain, one of only two Republican
senators to vote against both the 2001 and 2003 Bush tax cuts, would
extend nearly all of the cuts beyond their 2010 expiration. His plan
applies a 15 percent rate to estates worth more than $5 million. Meanwhile, with congressional approval, average federal taxes for the
top one-tenth of 1 percent of the population, which includes households
that earn at least $2.9 million, would rise by more than $700,000 next
year if Mr. Obama becomes president and would fall by nearly $270,000
if Mr. McCain wins the election.
FLIP-FLOP-O-RAMA
David Broder: Obama's case is more challenging than the typical candidate's
post-primary adjustment. For one thing, he is more opaque than the
usual nominee. No one in recent decades has emerged as the party
standard-bearer from so truncated a political career: four years in the
United States Senate, during which he has yet to lead on any major
domestic or foreign policy issue, preceded by largely anonymous service
in the Illinois state Senate. There have been few occasions when Obama's professed beliefs can be
tested against his action. And in the fight for the nomination,
virtually no issues emerged on which Obama's stands were seriously
challenged by his opponents. He won by convincing a narrow majority of Democratic voters that he
could mobilize otherwise distrustful and alienated citizens with his
promise to change Washington and to introduce a more open and less
partisan brand of politics. Because his personal credibility was such a
key to his success -- and remains so -- the changes now occurring in
his positions have a significance far beyond themselves... Obama is making it hard for the Republicans to figure out how to attack
him. The risk for him is if he also frustrates those voters' need to
understand what makes him tick. They don't elect enigmas to the Oval
Office.
Hendrik Hertzberg: Obama, it turns out, is a politician. In this respect, he resembles the
forty-three Presidents he hopes to succeed, from the Father of His
Country to the wayward son, Alpha George to Omega George. Winning a
Presidential election doesn’t require being all things to all of the
people all of the time, but it does require being some things to most
of the people some of the time. It doesn’t require saying one thing and
also saying its opposite, but it does require saying more or less the
same thing in ways that are understood in different ways. They’re all
politicians, yes—very much including Obama, as Ryan Lizza shows
elsewhere in this issue. But that doesn’t mean they’re all the same.