Obama's latest foreign-policy ad, "American Leadership"
He's been called a naive idealist. But in terms of foreign policy, he's the true realist in the race. Or so says my NEWSWEEK colleague Fareed Zakaria. Excerpts:
The rap on Barack Obama, at least in the realm of foreign policy,
has been that he is a softheaded idealist who thinks that he can charm
America's enemies. John McCain and his campaign, conservative
columnists and right-wing bloggers all paint a picture of a liberal
dreamer who wishes away the world's dangers. Even President Bush
stepped into the fray earlier this year to condemn the Illinois
senator's willingness to meet with tyrants as naive. Some commentators
have acted as if Obama, touring the Middle East and Europe this week on
his first trip abroad since effectively wrapping up the nomination, is
in for a rude awakening.
These critiques, however, are
off the mark. Over the course of the campaign against Hillary Clinton
and now McCain, Obama has elaborated more and more the ideas that would
undergird his foreign policy as president. What emerges is a world view
that is far from that of a typical liberal, much closer to that of a
traditional realist. It is interesting to note that, at least in terms
of the historical schools of foreign policy, Obama seems to be the cool
conservative and McCain the exuberant idealist...
Obama talks admiringly of men like Dean Acheson, George Kennan and
Reinhold Niebuhr, all of whom were imbued with a sense of the limits of
idealism and American power to transform the world. "In his view of
history, in his respect for tradition, in his skepticism that the world
can be changed any way but very, very slowly, Obama is deeply
conservative," wrote Larissa MacFarquhar in her profile of him for The
New Yorker. "There are moments when he sounds almost Burkean. He
distrusts abstractions, generalizations, extrapolations, projections.
It's not just that he thinks revolutions are unlikely: he values
continuity and stability for their own sake, sometimes even more than
he values change for the good."
As important as what
Obama says is what he passes up—a series of obvious cheap shots against
Bush. He could bash him for coddling China's dictatorship, urge him to
boycott the opening ceremony of the Beijing Olympics or criticize his
inaction in Darfur. In fact, Obama has been circumspect on all these
issues, neither grandstanding nor overpromising. (This is, alas, not
true on trade policy, where he has done both.)
Perhaps
the most telling area where Obama has stuck to a focused conception of
U.S. national interests is Iraq. Despite the progress in Iraq, despite
the possibility of establishing a democracy in the heart of the Arab
world, Obama's position is steely—Iraq is a distraction, and the sooner
America can reduce its exposure there, the better. I actually wish he
were somewhat more sympathetic to the notion that a democratic Iraq
would play a positive role in the struggle against Islamic extremism.
But his view is certainly focused on America's core security interests
and is recognizably realist. Walter Lippmann and George Kennan made
similar arguments about Vietnam from the mid-1960s onward.
Ironically,
the Republicans now seem to be the foreign-policy idealists, labeling
countries as either good or evil, refusing to deal with nasty regimes,
fixating on spreading democracy throughout the world and refusing to
think in more historical and complex ways. "I don't do nuance," George
W. Bush told many visitors to the White House in the years after 9/11.
John McCain has had his differences with Bush, but not on this broad
thrust of policy. Indeed it is McCain, the Republican, who has put
forward some fanciful plans, arguing that America should establish a
"League of Democracies," expel Russia from the Group of Eight
industrialized countries and exclude China from both groups as well.
Obama's
response to McCain's proposals on Russia and China could have been
drafted by Henry Kissinger or Brent Scowcroft. We need to cooperate
with both countries in order to solve significant global problems, he
told me last week, citing nuclear-proliferation issues with Russia and
economic ones with China. The distinction between Obama and McCain on
this point is important. The single largest strategic challenge facing
the United States in the decades ahead is to draw in the world's new
rising powers and make them stakeholders in the global economic and
political order. Russia and China will be the hardest because they are
large and have different political systems and ideological approaches
to the world. Yet the benefits of having them inside the tent are
obvious. Without some degree of great-power cooperation, global peace
and stability becomes a far more fragile prospect.
Obama and McCain are obviously mixtures of both realism and idealism.
American statesmen have always sought to combine the two in some
fashion, and they are right to do so. A foreign policy that is
impractical will fail and one that lacks ideals is unworthy of the
United States. But the balance that each leader establishes is always
different, and my main point is that Obama seems—unusually for a
modern-day Democrat—highly respectful of the realist tradition. And
McCain, to an extent unusual for a traditional Republican, sees the
world in moralistic terms.
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