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Posted Tuesday, August 12, 2008 7:57 AM

The Filter: August 12, 2008

Andrew Romano

A round-up of this morning's must-read stories.

THE FRONTRUNNER'S FALL
(Joshua Green, The Atlantic)

Penn also left no doubt about where he stood on the question of a positive versus negative strategy. He made the rather astonishing suggestion to target Obama’s “lack of American roots”: "All of these articles about his boyhood in Indonesia and his life in Hawaii are geared towards showing his background is diverse, multicultural and putting that in a new light. Save it for 2050. It also exposes a very strong weakness for him—his roots to basic American values and culture are at best limited. I cannot imagine America electing a president during a time of war who is not at his center fundamentally American in his thinking and in his values... Let’s explicitly own ‘American’ in our programs, the speeches and the values. He doesn’t. Make this a new American Century, the American Strategic Energy Fund. Let’s use our logo to make some flags we can give out. Let’s add flag symbols to the backgrounds." Clinton wisely chose not to go this route.

MORE: Negative Ads: They Really Do Work (Mark J. Penn, Politico)
Some negative ads crystallize voters’ opinions without presenting any new information. That’s what was behind John McCain’s recent ad equating Barack Obama’s celebrity status with that of Paris Hilton — that viewers would associate the Democrat’s leadership with mere celebrity, not substance. Fair or not, as advertising it did its job: It used humor, stuck viewers with memorable images and created a debate, just as Lyndon Johnson’s 1964 “Daisy” ad, Walter Mondale’s “Red Phone” spot 20 years later and Hillary Rodham Clinton’s “3 a.m.” commercial in 2008 did. The Paris Hilton ad also bore a Republican political trademark — attacking a candidate’s strengths rather than the candidate’s weaknesses. The spot attempted to portray Obama’s leadership for change as something fluffy and useless.

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RUSSIA-GEORGIA CONFLICT OFFERS GLIMPSE AT NEW WORLD ORDER
(Gerald F. Seib, Wall Street Journal)

This is a week in which Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama likely are thinking more about Georgia the country than Georgia the state, and for good reason: The hostilities that have erupted between Georgia and Russia are telling us a lot about the world order one of them will inherit as the next president. Russia's decision to send its troops and bombs into Georgia is a testament, at least in part, to how much the flow of billions of dollars in oil and gas revenue is emboldening Moscow to defy the U.S. and the West in ways it either wouldn't or couldn't just a few years ago. But the troubling strategic reality that is emerging is bigger and starker than just that. The rise of energy prices also is enriching other bad actors, creating a kind of globe-girdling string of well-heeled regional antagonists the U.S. can't ignore... The question for either Sen. McCain or Sen. Obama is what to do about this equation. The obvious long-term answer is to lead the West into a new energy structure in which the U.S. and its allies aren't so dependent on oil and gas from bad actors around the globe, and aren't busy enriching those same bad actors. In the short run, the answers aren't so easy.

LONGTIME REPUBLICAN VOTERS ARE AIRING NEW VIEWS
(Peter Wallsten, Los Angeles Times)

In this massive housing complex on the fringes of the Tampa Bay area, one of dozens in Pasco County that popped up over the last 10 years, the sour economy appears to be turning many GOP-friendly voters into undecideds or even potential switchers. These voters represent a jump ball -- a potentially decisive constituency in several states that could be snared by either candidate. But for Republican candidate John McCain, the danger signs are found beyond Greely Court. Pasco County is only one of the politically potent communities known as exurbs, the outer suburbs of cities, that could provide the margin of victory for the GOP -- or not. Four years ago, exurbs in Florida, Ohio, Nevada and Colorado were especially important to Bush's reelection. Targeted by Karl Rove, the architect of Bush's victory, they were full of families escaping crowded schools and other downsides of city and suburban life. They were more consumed with the demands of everyday life than politics, but were open to the Republican messages of family values and low taxes. To Rove, these communities were an important piece of his plan to build a lasting GOP majority. And Bush made a strong stand, winning 97 of the 100 fastest-growing counties. McCain, a senator from Arizona, is trying to do the same in a far different climate as exurbanites feel increasingly pinched by the rising costs of what not long ago seemed the ideal lifestyle. 

IN A CHANGING CORNER OF PA., A GLIMPSE OF OBAMA'S AGE PROBLEM
(Alec MacGillis, Washington Post)

If the senator from Illinois is going to achieve his goal of bridging the nation's divides, he is going to have to overcome a generation gap with older voters unlike any such split a Democratic presidential nominee has faced in years. Even as younger voters are showing signs of breaking with years of lackluster turnout to support him, Obama is facing singular resistance from voters over 65. That age group turns out at the highest rate on Election Day and is disproportionately represented in the swing states of Florida and Pennsylvania; Bill Clinton and Al Gore both relied on it in winning the Democrats' only popular-vote majorities of the past two decades. With polls showing Obama dominating among those under 40 and running even among middle-aged voters, Republican John McCain's lead among those 65 and older is the main reason he remains close overall. His margin is largest among older white voters without a college education, accounting for much of Obama's problem with the white working class.

VOTER REGISTRATION IS THE NEW BATTLEGROUND
(Corey Dade and John D. McKinnon, Wall Street Journal)

As Barack Obama tries to draw hundreds of thousands of new voters to the polls, Republicans are beginning to scrutinize registrants' eligibility as both sides draw a major battle line over voting rights. Republicans are moving to examine surges in voter registrations in some states. A Republican lawyers group held a national training session on election law over the weekend that included campaign attorneys for Sen. John McCain and other Republican leaders. One session discussed how party operatives can identify and respond to instances of voter fraud. Republicans said they are particularly worried about prospects for fraud in Virginia and Pennsylvania, and are beginning to comb thousands of new registrations in those states for ineligible applicants. In some cases the huge numbers threaten to swamp their efforts -- and those of state and local governments to verify and process applications. Election officials in Virginia and other states say there is no evidence of widespread fraud so far. Numerous studies have found fraud and other voting irregularities in past elections to be infrequent and generally not prevalent enough to influence the outcomes of most contests.

IN A HARSH CLIMATE FOR LOBBYISTS, THE FORECAST CALLS FOR... MORE LOBBYISTS
(Jeffrey H. Birnbaum, Washington Post)

To hear the presidential candidates talk, you'd think that lobbyists were about to be exiled from the capital city. Republican John McCain has dumped anyone who lobbies from his campaign staff, and on the hustings he lambastes "corruption" in Washington. Democrat Barack Obama is even more outspoken. He doesn't accept donations from federal lobbyists and frequently hammers them in his speeches. But K Street's response is not to flee in fear. Instead, it's getting ready for one of its busiest periods ever. Attacks from the presidential wannabes and the likelihood that Congress will become even more Democratic -- read: more activist -- means that many corporate interests will face increased danger next year and will have to employ more of the people whose job is to protect them -- lobbyists... "It doesn't matter which one is president -- there is going to be a tremendous need for lobbying," Mica said.

ENTHUSIASM GAP PLAGUES GOP CONVENTION
(Richard T. Cullen, Politico)

While excitement is building for a Democratic Party convention capped by Barack Obama’s historic acceptance speech before a sold-out, 75,000-seat football stadium, the GOP convention the following week is shaping up to be a considerably more staid affair, marked by the conspicuous absence of many of the usual convention attendees. Republicans aren’t exactly planning to avoid the convention in droves. But compared to past conventions, lawmakers, lobbyists and candidates aren’t beating a path to St. Paul either. Of the 12 Republicans running in competitive Senate races — five of whom are incumbents —- only three have said they will be attending the convention. Six are definite no-shows, and three are on the fence. “Nobody likes a funeral,” said a Senate Republican press secretary who spoke on the condition of anonymity, citing “the overall climate of general malaise about the party” as the reason for hesitance on the part of Republicans. 

EVAN BAYH OFFERS RISKS AND REWARDS FOR OBAMA
(Carl Hulse, New York Times)

Mr. Bayh is one of the leading candidates to be the running mate of the presumed Democratic presidential nominee, Senator Barack Obama, associates of Mr. Obama say. But Mr. Bayh’s advocacy for the war could complicate his prospects for getting on the ticket. Mr. Bayh, 52, is a telegenic moderate Democrat, a father of twins entering their teens, an experienced politician who in 2006 briefly flirted with a presidential run before endorsing Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. The son of a senator, Mr. Bayh was a popular two-term governor who could make Indiana, typically rock-solid Republican in presidential contests, a competitive state and appeal to blue-collar Democrats who have been slow to embrace Mr. Obama. [But] Mr. Bayh’s support of authorizing force in Iraq stands in sharp contrast to Mr. Obama’s oft-stated view that he showed the good judgment to oppose the conflict from the start... Mr. Bayh’s record points up the risks and rewards for Mr. Obama of adding a running mate from a Republican-leaning state, someone whose votes and credentials could compensate for perceived weaknesses of Mr. Obama but potentially alienate progressive Democrats crucial to Mr. Obama’s success. But admirers, some of whom are actively promoting Mr. Bayh as a No. 2, say he could complement Mr. Obama in areas like executive experience and economic expertise, while bolstering the image of a generational change. And his earlier allegiance to Mrs. Clinton could help soothe disgruntled Clinton supporters.
 

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Member Comments

Posted By: DavidGD620 (August 12, 2008 at 10:15 AM)

The Paris Hilton analogy appeared to have backfired on McCain when the lady herself, without cue card or a teleprompter, delivered a very credible statement.  The message I got from her message is, in spite of her popular image, she is not an air-head.

The McCain campaign risks alienating younger and better educated voters by equating youthful aspirations  and  internationalism with Un-Americanism.  Bring on the House Un-American Activities Committee  (HUAC). The committee was originally founded in 1938 to investigate Nazi activities and KKK activities. Neither goal was followed, rather in the HUAC undertook to investigate prominent Americans about suspected liberal, socialist or communist activities.  There are still individuals out there, over 50 years later, that equate liberalism with communism.

The committee was mostly responsible for "black balling" many Hollywood professionals when they refused to finger fellow professionals for "UN-AMERICANISM".  Please, Mr. McCain, don't go down that road again.  You are better than that.  Winning the presidency is not worth prostituting yourself to the radical right.  Campaign on real issues!!!


 
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