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  • A Gore Endorsement? Yawn. A Gore Endorsement in Michigan? Interesting...

    Andrew Romano | Jun 17, 2008 01:53 PM

     

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    Oh, wait. Sorry about that. It seems that I passed out on the upper left-hand corner of my keyboard. Must've been the news that Al Gore endorsed Barack Obama last night that put me to sleep.

    In a move that surprised exactly no one, the former Democratic nominee for president traveled yesterday to Detroit's Joe Louis Arena to throw his support to... the current Democratic nominee for president. "This moment and this election are too important to let pass without taking action," he said. Of course, the Oscar- and Nobel-winning veep could've delivered his benediction earlier--like, say, February, when it may have helped bring the interminable Democratic primary battle between Obama and Gore's ex-boss's wife, Hillary Clinton, to an earlier conclusion. After all, Gore and Obama have talked frequently since January 2007, including in a meeting last fall at Gore’s home in Nashville--while Hillary and Gore aren't what you would call close. That he didn't--and that he waited a full ten days after his choice had narrowed to a) a Democrat or b) a Republican--is evidence either of his judiciousness (I'll let the voters decide) or his caution (Why burn a bridge?). In other words, "yawn."

    That said, there's at least one thing about the Gore endorsement worth noting: the location. (No, he won't accept a slot as Obama's veep--no matter what James Carville says.) One of two states where the Democratic primary process was derailed by disagreements between the national party and its local satellites--and where, consequently, the presidential candidates did not campaign--Michigan is now enjoying Obama's nearly undivided attention. What's interesting here is that Florida (site of the other botched primary) is not. According to the Washington Post's 2008 Campaign Tracker, the Illinois senator has made 10 campaign stops on two separate swings through the Great Lakes State since mid-May--far more than any other non-primary state--versus only six in Florida (on a single trip). What's more, the Michigan events included Obama's two biggest endorsements to date: John Edwards on May 14 in Grand Rapids, and now Gore (whose backing, as Ben Smith notes, "might have had more symbolic resonance [in] Florida.")

    Obama is obsessed with Michigan because, unlike Florida, it's a must-win state--and winning there is hardly a sure thing at this point. In Tropicana country, Obama currently trails McCain by an average of 8.3 points. That's a difficult hill to climb, which is why Obama campaign manager David Plouffe has designed his boss's electoral strategy around losing Florida (like John Kerry) in November. The problem is, Obama can't afford to drop Michigan's 17 electoral votes (which Kerry won) as well. Recent Michigan polls are rare, but the three taken since May 19 show McCain with an average lead of 1.6 percent. Why so close? Democratic divisions. In Rasmussen's national polling, Obama and McCain earn identical levels of support from members of their own parties: 81 percent of Dems back Obama and 83 percent of Republicans back McCain. But the latest Rasmussen poll in Michigan shows that while McCain's local GOP support matches his national number--83 percent--Obama's support among state Democrats falls seven points to 74 percent. Those defectors--perhaps former Clintonites dissatisfied with how Michigan's controversial delegate clash was resolved--are enough to keep McCain in contention.

    With that in mind, expect Obama to make Michigan a major focus of his fall travel plans. And expect the candidate--and even the Goracle itself--to continue pushing the party-unity argument unveiled by the former veep last night. “Looking back over the last eight years, I can tell you that we have already learned one important fact,” he said. “Take it from me, elections matter."

    Translation: Now's your chance to right the wrongs of 2000. Don't blow it. We'll see in November whether Gore's message is more compelling than his timing.
     

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  • Will Gore and Carter Come to Obama's Rescue?

    Andrew Romano | Apr 16, 2008 12:48 PM

    Are Democratic dignitaries Al Gore and Jimmy Carter planning to intervene in the protracted Democratic primary battle--and ask Hillary Clinton to book a flight back to Chappaqua? 

    That's the buzz this week in Beltway circles after a report appeared Saturday in the UK's Scotsman newspaper (and later surfaced on Drudge) quoting a source close to Carter saying, "They're in discussions. Carter has been talking to Gore. They will act, possibly together, or in sequence." The idea, of course, is that the pair of party elders are the only pols powerful enough to convince the remaining superdelegates to break for Obama, who leads by small but probably insurmountable margins in the pledged-delegate and popular vote tallies, before Clinton does "too much damage" to the all-but-presumptive nominee.

    The only problem? A member of Gore's inner circle tells my NEWSWEEK colleague Eleanor Clift that the Scotsman rumor is false. Apparently, Gore's people regularly hear from both the Obama and Clinton campaigns (including after the report was published)--and the Gore folks told both camps that there's no deal in the offing. "The Obama campaign would love to have an endorsement, and the Hillary campaign wants it but is not expecting it," says the Gore staffer. "But [Gore's] determined not to intervene." According to Clift, Gore--like most other uncommitted superdelegates--has chosen to wait until after the voters have had their say in the remaining primaries before weighing in. His hope? That one candidate will clearly emerge by then as the stronger of the two. If that's Obama, it's an easy decision; if Hillary gains momentum but still lags in delegates, it's a harder call.

    That said, while Gore remains silent, Carter... well, let's just say that he's made it clear which candidate he lusts after in his heart. Speaking earlier this month to local reporters in Nigeria, the malaisey, be-cardiganed former president noted that Obama had won his home state of Georgia and his hometown of Plains. "My children and their spouses are pro-Obama. My grandchildren are also pro-Obama," he said. "As a superdelegate, I would not disclose who I am rooting for, but I leave you to make that guess."

    No wonder it was a Carterite pushing the potential pairing in the press. We're sure Obama would welcome Carter with open arms; there are only so many former Democratic presidents to go around, and sources tell Stumper that the other one is leaning toward Hillary. But we suspect that the Illinois senator would MUCH prefer the Gore-Carter twofer--especially with the peanut-farmer-in-chief scheduled to meet with Hamas in Syria this week.

    Alas. The Goreacle watch continues...

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  • Clinton Comes Down with a Case of 'The Gores'

    Andrew Romano | Apr 8, 2008 11:57 AM

     

    Don't worry, Hillary. Al Gore feels your pain.

    Over the past few weeks, you may have noticed that Clinton has been portrayed in the press less as a presidential candidate gearing up for a potentially decisive primary in Pennsylvania and more like, well, Pinocchio. The spurt of prevarication started with "Snipergate," Clinton's debunked account of exactly how dangerous her 1996 landing in war-torn Bosnia really was. Then came a flood of "gotcha" reports on everything from Clinton's original support of NAFTA to her role in the Northern Ireland peace process; Clinton foe Dick Morris even revived a 2001 controversy over daughter Chelsea's Sept. 11 whereabouts.

    Some of these reality checks raised important questions about Clinton's claims of foreign-policy expertise. Others (like Morris's rather baseless Chelsea murmuring) did not. But because all of them contributed to a suddenly salable Clinton "metanarrative"--the former First Lady as "serial exaggerator"--they've received a ton of attention on TV, in the papers and online. As Tom Rosenstiel, director of Project for Excellence in Journalism, put it in 2001, "journalists are looking for a story line, a narrative device, that plays out over weeks and months." So even though Obama has stretched the truth (as politicians are wont to do) regarding his parents' reasons for marrying and his role in filling out a "liberal" 1996 survey (among other things), his slips didn't conform to the preferred "new kind of candidate" metanarrative--and therefore went largely unnoticed. Meanwhile, Clinton has spent the last month getting made over as the new Gore, who was pilloried in 2000 for "inventing the Internet."

    There's only one problem: metanarratives tends to bulldoze nuance--and, in effect, reality.  "The problem is if [journalists] let the narrative overwhelm the facts, then it becomes a distorting lens," said Rosenstiel. "It can lead journalists to ignore and mischaracterize facts as they try to fit them into the story." That's what happened back in 2000, for example; Gore, of course, never really claimed to have invented the Internet. And it's what's happening right now with Clinton, whose latest "gaffe"--the story, oft-repeated on the stump, of a young woman who lost her baby and later died because she lacked health insurance and did not have $100 to gain access to a nearby hospital--isn't a gaffe at all. If, that is, you take the time to examine it.

    A little background. For weeks, Clinton repeated the anecdote at campaign appearances without naming the woman or the hospital. But on April 3, the Washington Post identified the woman, Trina Bachtel, 35, of Middleport, Ohio, who died last August; soon, officials at O'Bleness Memorial Hospital in Athens, Ohio, fearing their facility would be falsely accused, told the New York Times that while Bachtel's baby was indeed stillborn there, Bachtel was never refused treatment and even had medical insurance. "We implore the Clinton campaign to immediately desist from repeating this story," CEO Rick Castrop said. The press pounced--and Clinton's campaign said she would slash the story from her speeches.

    It turns out that a few alterations would have been sufficient. For starters, Clinton first heard the story from supporter Bryan Holman, the Meigs County deputy sheriff, at a campaign stop in Pomeroy, Ohio on Feb. 28. In a March 26 phone interview with The Associated Press, "Holman said he had told Clinton the story in essentially the same way she was retelling it in her speeches"; what's more, Holman never gave Clinton Bachtel's name or the name of the hospital in question, making it near-impossible for her staffers to identify either one after the fact (they tried). This happens daily on the trail, and every presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan has eagerly recounted such tales. Secondly, while O'Bleness's account was, in fact, true, so was "Clinton's claim that Bachtel did not get care at another hospital that wanted a $100 pre-payment before seeing her, according to the young woman's aunt, Lisa Casto." From the Washington Post:

    [Casto] said her niece had previously been in debt to a local hospital that later sent her a letter informing her that she could only be treated there in the future if she gave them a $100 deposit. At the time she went into debt to that hospital, Casto said, Bachtel was uninsured, though she later obtained health insurance and was insured at the time of her death... Casto said her niece, who suffered from preeclampsia during her pregnancy, did not seek care at the first hospital when she fell ill because she knew she did not have the $100 out-of-pocket she believed she would need to be seen. Instead, she went to O'Bleness Memorial Hospital, where her baby was stillborn.

    In other words, Clinton's version was accurate in all but its setting--which Holman didn't specify in the first place. Without insurance, Bachtel went into debt to Hospital A, and delayed treatment there because she didn't have the $100 that she thought she'd have to fork over; when her condition worsened, Bachtel, now insured, finally sought treatment at Hospital B. But by then it was too late. As the Associated Press's Charles Babbington puts it, "according to Casto's account, Bachtel's medical tragedy began with circumstances very close to the essence of Clinton's now-abandoned account: the lack of insurance created a $100 barrier to needed medical attention close to home." It's true that if Clinton staffers had gone to Herculean lengths to verify the details of Holman's unspecific account, they might've discovered the shift in setting. But to say that the Bachtel story represents "yet another" Clinton exaggeration rather than a good-faith effort to relay a real, illustrative story of health-care difficulties in America--albeit with some details lost in translation--is in itself a rather blatant exaggeration. Of course, that's the problem with these metanarratives.

    Just ask the Goracle.

    UPDATE AFTER THE JUMP: An instructive exchange between MSNBC's Keith Olbermann and the Washington Post's Dana Milbank...

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  • Al Gore to the Rescue?

    Andrew Romano | Feb 15, 2008 03:38 PM

    Stumper's Take: He foresaw global warming. He "took the initiative" on the Internet. And he knew exactly how Iraq would turn out. Who's to say that Al Gore hasn't known all along that the Democratic race would descend into some weird state of gridlock--and that only he, the Goracle, could rescue the party from civil war? Read on for the what if's...

    By Eleanor Clift

    Al Gore on the second ballot: A scenario that a few weeks ago seemed preposterous is beginning to look plausible to some nervous Democrats looking for a way out of the deadlock between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. It goes like this: We love them both, but neither is a sure bet when it comes to electability. It's not about gender and race, each has more mundane vulnerabilities. Hillary's negatives will drive white men to John McCain; Obama's inexperience will require a gut check on the part of voters. What if the super delegates decide not to decide, denying either candidate the requisite number of delegates to secure the party's nomination. Democrats want to win. The new rallying cry: Gore on the second ballot.

    The last time a political convention went to a second ballot was 1952, but this is a year with so many twists and turns that nothing is impossible. Gore would be tempted on so many levels. He would only have to endure two months of campaigning, not long enough for voters to remember what they didn't like about him eight years ago. Gore has sat out the primary process, refusing to offer even so much as a hint of where his sentiments lie. Years of playing second-fiddle to Hillary in the White House no doubt precluded his endorsement for her. Surely he would happily take Obama as his running mate, ending the Clinton dynasty and positioning the Democrats for a potential 16-year reign at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. A Gore-Obama ticket would be unstoppable, the thinking goes, matching the presumptive Republican nominee, McCain, on national security and experience, while embodying a powerful message of change.

    The Gore second-ballot scenario isn't being seriously considered by Democratic Party leaders (as far as we know). But a number of individual high-profile Democrats are talking about it, along with any number of other ideas to end the seemingly intractable stalemate.

    How could this unfold?
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  • Bush v. Gore: The Rematch. Or, Um, the Caption Contest.

    Andrew Romano | Nov 27, 2007 03:30 PM
    Gerald Herbert / AP
     
    UPDATE, Nov. 30, 7:00 p.m.: The contest is now closed. Thanks to everyone who participated. We'll reveal the winner in next week's magazine. Special Stumper post to come...
     
    Yesterday--Monday, Nov. 26, 2007--was a momentous day in our nation's grand and glorious history, as former Vice President Al Gore returned to the White House for his first private meeting with President George W. Bush since December 2000. After years of simmering and sniping, of doubt and denial, of tears and fears, finally, finally--Gore came face to face with the man who came between him and the Oval Office.

    And yet we have no idea what they said.

    Leaving the White House, Gore--whom Bush honored with a closed-door tete-a-tete in addition to the typical Nobel Prize prize photo-op--told a swarm of reporters that "of course, we talked about global warming" before adding that it was a "private meeting." "I’m not going to say anything about it other than that it was very nice, very cordial," he said. "He was very gracious in setting up the meeting, and it was a very good and very substantive conversation. That’s all.” Bush has been equally mum.

    So we turn to you, dear readers. Take a close look at the photo above. Imagine what Gore is saying to Bush. Then leave your best caption in the comments below. It's as simple as that. At the end of the week, I'll consult with a team of NEWSWEEK reporters and editors and pick the smartest, funniest submission. Prize TBD. But count on a special Stumper post--at the very least.

    Personally, I think Gore is asking Bush if those are EnergyStar-qualified compact fluorescent light bulbs...

    You?

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  • Gore's Nobel Patrol

    Andrew Romano | Oct 12, 2007 06:26 AM
    Fans of Al Gore are a passionate lot. Take, for example, Stephen Cohen, a 68-year old medical writer who first encountered Gore 20 years ago when the then-svelte Senator from Tennessee made an unsuccessful run for the Democratic presidential nomination. It was love at first sight. "He was a bright and brave guy, tackling issues other people ignored," he says. "Some of Gore's opponents have called him a loser. I don't think that's true. I think he's one of the biggest winners of all time." 

    Since 1988, Cohen has given three of his four presidential votes to Gore (Bill Clinton, Gore's running mate in 1992 and 1996, was "secondary"); volunteered to serve as president of the New York wing of the Draft Al Gore PAC, a federally registered non-profit that has gathered 127,000 signatures in support of a third Gore bid; rallied for Gore at countless events, come rain or shine, with signs in hand and buttons pinned to his shirts; and, most recently (and perhaps most impressively), awoken at 4:30 this morning, slipped on blue sweat shorts and a green polo, poured a cup of tea and settled into a striped armchair in the living room of his small Upper East Side apartment to watch on CNN the 5:00 a.m. announcement from Oslo, Norway of this year's Nobel Peace Prize recipient. He was rooting for Al Gore.

    For now, however, there was only Lou Dobbs. To occupy himself, Cohen cataloged the alternate-universe accomplishments of the Albert A. Gore Administration, 2001-2007. "Of course, we wouldn't be in Iraq, because, you know, Gore gave a magnificent speech in 2002 predicting everything that would happen there" he said. "And by leading the fight against global warming from inside the White House, he would've persuaded Congress to take action. What's more, Gore would have--" Suddenly, Dobbs' jowls faded from the screen of Cohen's 23" Quasar TV and in their place appeared the white-haired, bespectacled head of Nobel Peace Prize Committee Chair Ole Danbolt Mjoes. He spoke what was allegedly Norwegian. It was 4:59.

    Cohen stopped talking, turned up the volume and leaned forward in his seat. He titled an ear toward the set. More nonsense. "They don't have a translator!" he said, struggling to keep his voice down so as not to wake his sleeping girlfriend. "They've gotta be kidding! They knew this was coming! Are there no Norwegians in this country!"
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The Peek
 
 
PROJECT GREEN
NWK Caption: At the Excel High School in Oakland, California a group of students, their teacher and members of community groups pose with air pollution monitors in front of a mural at the school.  July 26, 2008.       Left to Right:   Randy Colosky, a member of Global Community Monitor  wearing brown shirt ,Juan Hernandez, student (seated) ,   Ina Bendich, teacher Danyale Willingham,student in blue top).Elizabeth de Rham far right, member of the Rose Foundation.

Young pollution sleuths and community activists fight for healthier air.

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