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Posted Thursday, October 15, 2009 5:35 PM

The Problem With Two Conflicting Health-Reform Polls

Newsweek

By Jeremy Herb

Do Americans support health reform? Depends how you ask. A Fox News story today—headlined "Opposition to Health Care Reform Holds Steady"—said Americans oppose reforms proposed by the Senate 54 percent to 35 percent. A CBS poll last week, however, said the public supported a public option by a 2-to-1 margin, 62 percent to 31 percent. Why the disparity? The answers you get depend on the questions you ask.

The CBS poll asked about government-run health care this way: "Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government-administered health-insurance plan—something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get—that would compete with private health-insurance plans?" Compare that to the Fox News poll, which focused its question on the legislation in Congress: "Based on what you know about the health-care reform legislation being considered right now, do you favor or oppose the plan?"

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The way that both news organizations posed their questions are problematic. CBS compared the public option directly to Medicare, leaving respondents with the idea, conscious or unconscious, that a government-run plan would be like Medicare, something favored in the public eye. (It's not yet clear if or how closely a public plan would track Medicare.) Fox, on the other hand, asked its respondents to take what they know about health-reform legislation and decide if they favor "the plan." Of course, there are five plans in Congress right now, and most people are confused by the legislation that's proposed. And by tying health reform to Congress, it's tied to an organization with pitiful approval ratings.

In general, health-reform poll numbers tend to be unreliable. But when surveys don't ask simple questions, they are asking for skewed responses. These kinds of poll questions are like the discredited report this week from America's Health Insurance Plans, which took certain elements of the Baucus bill to incorrectly claim premiums would rise—they only make the public more skeptical and cynical. We are much more interested in knowing whether Americans support a public option in concept, which is much different question from whether they approve of something that's like Medicare (even if this turns out to be true) or whether they've be reading H.R. 3200.

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Member Comments

Posted By: OhioGal (October 19, 2009 at 9:02 AM)

Open enrollment for my husband's health insurance is next month and the company has already announced that employee deductibles are rising. We are paying more and more and getting less and less for our money. I'm guessing that within five years the large corporations will quit providing health insurance and then the majority of Americans will be without health insurance unless we have some reform. Our current health insurance is beginning to feel like no insurance. The deductibles are so high that for more procedures we pay for the entire procedure out of pocket because we haven't yet paid the full deductible.

This article says that companies want individuals to know how much their health care costs and then hope that people make wiser decisions but how much decision do I get to make. I'm going for my annual pelvic exam this week and received a letter from the doctor's office asking which lab my health insurance will cover. I don't choose the lab, the insurance does.

We know people who are being forced to change doctors because their company chooses their health insurance and their health insurance chooses their doctor. It's a joke to say that people are getting to choose who they see when it is their corporation and insurance company making the decisions. The insurance company also decides which hospitals I may use and which specialists so I'm not sure how I'm supposed to make wise decisions to help cut my health care costs. The decisions are already made. My only decision is whether to get the health care my doctor recommends to skip that care because it is so expensive.


Posted By: memo02 (October 17, 2009 at 8:10 AM)

I'm not opposing for a new Health Care,cause Insurance Institutions fail to deliver, what I'm opposing is the way this Administration using money from tax payers to make their own business and people had to pay tax with their own money, that  make me sick !...


Posted By: 1stopinion (October 16, 2009 at 7:17 PM)

energycommerce.house.gov/Press_111/20090714/aahca.pdf

HR3200  healthcare bill