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Posted Monday, November 09, 2009 12:50 PM

Club for Growth Endorses Rubio. Now What?

Holly Bailey

To no one’s surprise, the Club for Growth today endorsed Marco Rubio in the GOP primary for Florida’s open Senate seat. The move, which had been rumored for weeks, comes just a few days after the club ran an ad attacking Gov. Charlie Crist’s support of President Obama’s stimulus plan. “Marco Rubio is the real deal, one of the brightest stars in American politics today and a proven champion of economic liberty,” Club president Chris Chocola said in a release this morning. No question, it’s a huge endorsement for Rubio, who has been gaining the support of plenty of big-name Republicans in recent months, including Mike Huckabee, in spite of the fact that national party had already signaled its support for Crist in the nomination battle. Or rather, they had. Last week, Sen. John Cornyn, the Texan who runs the National Republican Senatorial Committee, told ABC his committee wouldn’t get involved in the state’s Senate primary—overlooking the fact that Cornyn had endorsed Crist months ago.

The big question is, What does this really mean for Rubio? Last week, the club disclosed it had spent $1 million on New York’s hotly contested special election for its 23rd congressional district seat. Its chosen candidate, Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman, narrowly lost the race, but the group’s spending sent chills through Republican ranks in Washington, who fear the group could use its war chest to challenge GOP candidates in other races. Yet, as your Gaggler reported last week, some Republicans pooh-poohed that idea, saying there was no way the club could afford to target too many races. One big reason: Pennsylvania. The group, which spent nearly $2 million on behalf of Pat Toomey’s primary challenge against Arlen Specter in 2004, is already expected to at least double that spending on the anticipated Toomey-Specter rematch next year. In Florida, the race is expected to be even more expensive, in part because there are more TV markets to hit. One estimate floated last week is that it would take at least $5 million for the club to have even a minimal impact on the race. Add to that other matchups the group is reportedly looking at, including primary races for open seats in Illinois and New Hampshire. Club officials say their fundraising is up, but is it enough to actively compete in what will no doubt be a very expensive election year?

Of course, it’s not just about the money the club itself will spend on Rubio’s race. It’s about the other doors their endorsement could open for him. Will it help Rubio become the cause du jour among other conservative activists and perhaps help him land other big-name endorsements—like, say, Sarah Palin? There are two immediate problems that Rubio faces in the campaign against Crist. One, he’s still largely unknown statewide. According to a recent Quinnipiac poll, 55 percent of Florida Republicans say they didn’t know enough about Rubio to have an opinion about him. The second problem: money. The former Florida statehouse speaker lags way behind Crist when it comes to cash in the bank. According the latest campaign-finance reports filed with the Federal Election Commission, Rudio had raised a little more than $1.6 million through Sept. 30, with roughly $930,000 in the bank—a pretty good sum for a guy challenging the establishment candidate. But it’s still not close to the more than $6.9 million Crist has raised this year. According to his FEC reports, the Florida governor still has just over $6.2 million in the bank.  With the primary not scheduled until next August, Rubio has time to catch up, but more immediately, he has to raise doubts, not just among GOP primary voters but among national GOP donors and activists, that Crist is vulnerable. The club’s ad attacking Crist was a big gift to the Rubio campaign, but, as Arian noted last week, Rubio is coming under increased scrutiny himself. He’ll need more than just the Club for Growth’s endorsement to remain competitive for the next nine months.

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Member Comments

Posted By: highlanddot11 (November 10, 2009 at 8:32 AM)

It's so entertaining to listen to republicans rant about Obama's "socialist agenda" & his "unprecedented grab at our freedoms".  Who was it again that instituted warrantless wiretapping? And how many times did George W. invoke executive privilege, thus denying us the basic freedom of getting to the truth behind the president's decisions? I can count 4 off the top of my head including his attempt to block investigation into Pat Tillman's death. And from a socialist standpoint, who was it that initiated government takeover of private banks? Same guy.  Who increased federal benefits for prescription drugs for seniors? Should be clear by now. I realize there is no point in getting into a flame war about who really sucks the most- republicans or democrats, my point is just that both parties are pulling so hard to the left and right that it amazes me that anything gets accomplished.  At least Crist makes an attempt at negotiating a middle road at times, even though he gets called a rino by the right in doing so.


Posted By: thebob.bob (November 9, 2009 at 7:12 PM)

Dare2? says: "As it stands now, I could never vote republican, I believe in science & have gay friends, and am a college educated woman under 30.  Not exactly in the GOP demographic."

The GOP doesn't want you either. You probably believe that there's a role for Government in a modern society, that lawyers are a necessary evil to protect the weak from the powerful, that taxes are how a civilized society pays for the common good. If so, you're a radical anti-American socialist that hates freedom, Join the club! :-)


Posted By: Dare2? (November 9, 2009 at 3:37 PM)

Crist will win. He should win. The GOP is making a concerted effort to go back to the center right, instead of the Palin-wing of the party that has proved so disastorous. Electing Crist in a southern state will go a long way to proving that. The best thing to happen to the Democrats in the last 18 months or so is the emergence of Palin-style politics and sooner or later, even the geriatric republicans will cede that reality. I've personally thought that a Crist-type of moderate would be a good bet against Obama in 2012, Huckabee or Palin would get obliterated by the Obama machine in 2012.

I hope Crist wins and sets the table for other moderates like him, making it possible for people like me to actually consider voting for a republican. As it stands now, I could never vote republican, I believe in science & have gay friends, and am a college educated woman under 30.  Not exactly in the GOP demographic.