Ramin Setoodeh
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Feb 20, 2008 05:41 PM
Here we go, down to the wire ... with the Oscars on Sunday night.
The male acting races are pretty much locked up for Daniel Day-Lewis
("There Will Be Blood") and Javier Bardem ("No Country For Old
Men") -- congratulations guys. So I'm betting it's the female
categories that will give us our traditional surprise (or two) of the
night.
Best actress seemed to be Julie Christie's award after she took the
SAG and Globe for "Away From Her." But I dunno. Marion Cotillard
delivers the better performance in "La Vie En Rose," though the fact
that it's all in French could hurt her. Do you think the two might
cancel each other out, leaving room for an Ellen Page/"Juno" upset?
As for supporting actress, it's always the hardest to predict. Ruby
Dee ("American Gangster") had a slow awards-season start, but she's now
the frontrunner. Too bad for her, the frontrunner usually doesn't win
this category -- especially when you people use words like "sentimental
favorite" (just ask Lauren Bacall or Gloria Stuart). Cate Blanchett
would probably win for her Dylan turn, had she not already won for
being Hepburn. The Academy loves "Michael Clayton," and if Tilda
Swinton wins, she'll be this year's Marcia Gay Harden. But I think Amy
Ryan, who was mesmerizing in "Gone Baby Gone," is the safest gamble.
Stay tuned. I'll post my full predictions on Friday (once I've changed my mind a couple more times).
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