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Posted Monday, August 31, 2009 12:00 PM

Winners of Japan's Election Might Be Lousy Leaders

Newsweek

By Takashi Yokota

These should be thrilling days for the Democratic Party of Japan. As of press time, polls showed it cruising toward a crushing victory in Sunday's elections, with projections that it would win up to two thirds of Japan's Parliament and decisively end the 54-year reign of the Liberal Democratic Party. But don't expect the festivities to last long. For one thing, the Democrats' mandate isn't nearly as strong as it seems--most Japanese supported it only to reject the LDP, and surveys show that 64 percent of the country has low expectations for the winners. No wonder: the party is full of political novices, with freshman politicians making up half the DPJ's candidate list--which means they may have a tough time governing effectively.

Even more worrying is the possibility that a "shadow shogun" will take over and fracture the DPJ. Ichiro Ozawa, once the party's top boss, resigned in May after an alleged fundraising scandal, but has stayed busy mentoring young DPJ candidates. With many of those protégés now in office, he could regain enormous political clout and leverage over the prime minister. For some DPJ loyalists that's a frightening scenario, since Ozawa is often referred to as "the destroyer" of political parties: he's founded three of them in the past two decades, and all have disintegrated. Ozawa's disruptive tendencies--should they resurface--could fissure and hamstring the party, souring this week's festive mood.

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Member Comments

Posted By: eumu1 (September 2, 2009 at 12:05 PM)

if you want to be that negative about the New Prime minister, why don't you get to the point? You talk like you know what the Japan's politics is all about, but don't think what I am going to tell you is redundant or gratuitous, simply you would have never thought of it like all the ruling LDP or else it might have appeared too naive to spit it out, because as you know it the Japanese negativity is characteristic to the love of constructive criticism, and so naturally it comes from the older and it is an expression of love, just as Koreans seem to show it in the same vein: their criticism is grounded in love, just as all knowledge does this is because it knows precisely the border line transition as its own transcendence.

Any way, the Japanese negativity is here not the subject matter, nor is the Korean, but the Japan'spolitical thinking is: (if you are interested in the matter as it follow, you are welcome to WWW.all-humanity.spaces.live.com

...but I must tell you something that has been there for years without an exit proper, and to my surprise, in the following comment on this particular occasion of sending to a NY times article a congratulatory note for the DPJ to enter into history and execute its judgment, which has no way of knowing whether it is: objective or subjective as if no longer matters, because politics in Japan has been the vengeance on ideology to the extent that the LDP pretended the separation of politics and economy, but the consequence of pretention was the senseless suffering of the people like the kids of a divorced family. And so its principal cause began to murmur:  

“Finally I must thank you for your article [the NY times by Martin] is getting to the bottom of the thing at issue between Japan and the US, about which I have been asserting as follows:

Polls have predicted opposition set for historic landslide, and so the DPJ [Democratic Party of Japan] did gain more that what they needed: 300 PM seats out of 480 total. But this "historic" landslide victory of Opposition party (DPJ) may sound, we are afraid, deceptive against Big change it intends to, because in my view there has been no radical difference among leaders of two parties: at their origin, both enjoyed the autonomy as Japan's postwar sovereignty, but a true independence as yet to come [which was LDP’s original sin].

UNLESS this crucial difference is made transparent to this historic landslide victory by the action of the so-called 'opposition' party leaders, the landslide victory may become the medium of the original sin instead of the credit to the DPJ that after all, helped build the people’s confidence with democracy, objectively demonstrating that the real power is in their hands but not in the hands of the Party over the individuals who have no thousand eyes but two, which is so far the party’s objective contribution to history.

But DPJ can be simply behaving as the agent of the sin because it may not feel opposed to the LDP rule but instead it may in fact be assimilating the opposite since there is nothing in the first place, to oppose to in their pockets or inside their chests, I am afraid to the point that the Original Yoshida Government in 1946 will turn the haunting spectre over to the mushroom phenomenon of Japanese postwar nationalism, to which not just Obama of America but also its own leaders must pay attention, once the true independence is attained, because the reason for the autonomy in the absence of Independence [like Dalai Lama who wants autonomy, political and cultural for the Tibetans, not independence in the sense of aiming at an autarkic state  from Communist China]  was replaced with the controlled  mimesis for the masses imposed upon by the manipulation of the ruling  LDP leaders: supposedly as a lesson from the Pacific War--their tendency to the collective madness [E.g. the Kamikaze pilot as a product of it], which is controlled and in essence opposed by the presence of the US troops in the Islands, like the idea in the growing dialectical taboos of the Okinawan autonomy from the LDP rule, [please see my latest book \The Shade of Reason/Obama dialectic\  at the page 146 under the subtitle “Japanese taboo of W W II,” ] but still pseudo-independence from the sounds and furies of foreign military bases of more than fifty thousand US troops, whose Commander-in-chief is precisely our new President Obama...a voice from \Obama dialectic\"

David D. Yun