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Wealth of Nations

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  • "I Want Money," Sings Goldman

    Barrett Sheridan | Jun 22, 2009 03:23 PM

    Before reading this post, I suggest first playing the video below. Consider it a theme song of sorts for articles like the one excerpted below.

    Okay, now that you're humming along to the appropriate music, here is the relevant excerpt:

    Staff at Goldman Sachs staff can look forward to the biggest bonus payouts in the firm's 140-year history after a spectacular first half of the year, sparking concern that the big investment banks which survived the credit crunch will derail financial regulation reforms.

    A lack of competition and a surge in revenues from trading foreign currency, bonds and fixed-income products has sent profits at Goldman Sachs soaring, according to insiders at the firm.

    More
  • Iran's bumbling ‘China model’

    Michael Hirsh | Jun 22, 2009 02:56 PM

    Now that they’ve had their bloody crackdown, the next step for Iran’s mullahs is economic reform. That, after all, is the “China model” they’ve been talking about in Tehran for years. If we give the people a taste of the good life, it will take their minds off political freedom and we’ll get to keep our authoritarian regime. The problem is, there is very little evidence that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad have any clue how to reform and open up their economy the way Beijing’s mandarins did after 1989. Or that they want to even try.

     

    Ahmadinejad, in fact, did the opposite during his first term, embracing socialism and a blinkered populism that devastated the Iranian economy. He strong-armed the Central Bank into driving down interest rates artificially, risking hyperinflation; shifted back to a command economy by slowing privatization; and misused much of the nation’s $60 to $70 billion windfall oil revenues, doing little to ease unemployment. Ahmadinejad’s policies hurt “a lot more than the international sanctions,” which are generally seen as a nuisance that merely drives up the cost of doing business, Saeed Shirkavand, a Tehran University economist, told me in 2007. Shirkavand was one of 59 economists who signed an open letter to Ahmadinejad criticizing his policies back then.

     

    While many Iranians recognized that Ahmadinejad has deepened their country's international isolation with his outrageous and unnecessary comments on Israel and the Holocaust,  most of the criticism of him focuses on his mishandling of the domestic economy.  Hence, if as expected the protests are silenced with force, the discontent isn’t going away. Ahmadinejad’s base is Iran’s poor, but they’ve been as hard-hit by inflation and the tail-off in oil revenues. Now that Khamenei has shown he has clay feet spiritually, and his confederate Ahmadinejad has stumbled economically, it’s hard to see how the China model works for these guys much longer.

     

     


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